Weather | When scorching hot isn't enough: The government's recent heat risk tool puts magenta as essentially the most dangerous level

WASHINGTON — Forget the blistering heat. A brand new color-coded heat warning system uses magenta to alert Americans to essentially the most dangerous conditions they may experience this summer.

The National Weather Service and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention unveiled a brand new online heat risk system on Earth Day Monday that mixes meteorological and medical risk aspects with a seven-day forecast that’s simplified and coloured for worsening Global warming is characterised by heat waves.

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“For the first time we can know how hot is too hot for health, not just for today but for the weeks to come,” said Dr. Ari Bernstein, director of the National Center for Environmental Health, at a joint news conference of state health and weather officials.

Magenta is the worst and deadliest of 5 heat threat categories, striking everyone with what authorities call “infrequent and/or prolonged extreme heat with little or no relief overnight.” It is a step above red and is taken into account a serious risk, harming anyone without adequate cooling and hydration and impacting the healthcare system and a few industries. Red is used when a day is among the many 5% hottest days at a selected location and date. If other aspects come into play, the alert level could rise even further to magenta, weather service officials said.

Light green, however, poses little or no risk. Yellow represents a low risk, especially for the very young, old, sick and pregnant people. Orange represents a medium risk and is especially harmful to people who find themselves sensitive to heat, especially those without cooling, comparable to: B. homeless people.

The five categories are based on strict, scientifically determined numerical thresholds, comparable to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale, known for its Category 1 to five terminology, although the warmth version is location-specific, said Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service. The thresholds were calculated using local weather data, local climatology, which shows what people in certain places are used to during each season, and localized health and medical data for the occurrence of warmth illnesses and deaths within the region, he said.

“Heat is a threat to our health,” said CDC Director Dr. Mandy Cohen. She said greater than 120,000 people within the U.S. were taken to the emergency room due to heat last yr. Last yr was one among the deadliest heat years in a long time, in accordance with government records.

Heat is by far the No. 1 weather-related explanation for death within the United States, said Rick Spinrad, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, pointing to CDC data of 1,200 deaths per yr. Last yr was the most well liked yr on record worldwide.

Both the Weather Service and the CDC will post versions of the tool on their web sites. EEnter a zipper code on the CDC dashboard to focus more on health risks and air quality and to expand the Weather Service's map online for more detailed forecasts and explanations. Both versions include the warmth risk for the following seven days and there may be a Spanish edition. The CDC site is https://www.cdc.gov/heatrisk and the Weather Service version is https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heatrisk/

There are quite a few other meteorological indices of warmth, Graham said. These include the warmth index, which takes humidity into consideration; Wet bulb temperature, which targets outdoor heat stress within the sun; and the universal thermal climate index, which takes into consideration radiation and other urban heat aspects.

A version of the warmth risk map has been in use in California and other parts of the West for a few decade, he said.

Health officials Cohen and Bernstein said that whilst the warmth gets worse resulting from climate change, society can try to scale back deaths through higher warnings and higher planning. Doctors should consult with people before the beginning of summer about what vulnerable people should do before heatwaves, they said. For example, some heart medications interact with the outdoor heat, and other people shouldn't stop taking their medications, but they may take other precautions, as could teenagers with asthma, said Bernstein, a pediatrician by training.

Those precautions will soon be vital, Graham said.

The weather service's seasonal forecast for May and June likely shows above-average temperatures for much of the United States, Graham said. “So as summer approaches it will be as hot as ever and even hotter if we are above average.”

“Heat waves are getting hotter, longer, more frequent, and you feel less relief at night,” Graham said, citing quite a few studies from the last decade. “So it’s getting more and more serious.”

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