How climate change is heating up the weather and what we will do about it

The heat wave that made greater than 100 million people sweat within the eastern United States in June 2024 got here so quickly and was so extreme that meteorologists warned of sudden drought could follow over large parts of the region.

Prolonged high temperatures can quickly dry out soils and trigger rapid droughts that may affect agriculture, water resources and energy supplies. In many regions under the warmth dome in June, unusually dry conditions.

A US map showing the risk of sudden drought from New York to Florida and across Ohio.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's hazard map shows drought warnings in yellow and areas forecast to be at high risk of utmost heat in early July in red.
NOAA Climate Prediction Center

The effects of the warmth wave on people were also far-reaching. In Ohio and Pennsylvania Emergency room visits for heat-related illnesses increased. Several Massachusetts Schools without air-con closed to guard children and teachers. In New York and New Jersey electrical cables sagged in the warmthwhich resulted within the paralysis of trains to and from New York City and left commuters stranded.

We study Weather conditions with heatThe heatwave in June 2024 was unusually early and long-lasting in comparison with typical patterns for the Northeast of the USA

It was triggered by a big area of ​​high pressure, often called a heat dome, that prolonged greater than 10 miles into the atmosphere from the bottom. A heat dome is each a cause and a consequence of utmost heat. Very large and powerful heat domes just like the nor'easter event – which reached higher into the atmosphere than any previous June event – have a better potential for higher temperatures that affect more people.

Maps of air pressure at different altitudes, with diagrams of the troposphere and stratosphere.
The heat dome at different heights of the atmosphere.
Mathew Barlow, University of Massachusetts Lowell

In addition, the heatwave was a part of a world outbreak of pre-Christmas heat that put lives in danger in lots of countries world wide.

Heat becomes a world problem

Record heat has hit several countries in America, Europe and Asia in 2024. In Mexico and Central America, weeks of persistent heat with temperatures of as much as 51.8 degrees Celsius combined with persistent drought led to severe water shortages and dozens of deaths.

Extreme heat was tragedy in Saudi Arabia. over 1,000 people on the Hajja Muslim pilgrim to Mecca, collapsed and died. Temperatures reached 125 F (51.8 C) within the Grand Mosque in Mecca on June seventeenth.

A large number of people in traditional clothing that covers them from the neck to the wrists and ankles walk along the wide path, some carrying parasols for shade.
Muslim pilgrims spent hours outdoors in extreme temperatures and high humidity throughout the Hajj in Saudi Arabia in June 2024. Over 1,000 people died in the warmth.
AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool

In Greece, where temperatures exceeded 38 degrees Celsius for several days in a row in June, several tourists died or were found dead after trekking in dangerous heat and humidity.

India also faced temperatures of around 49 degrees Celsius for days in April and May, affecting hundreds of thousands of individuals, lots of them without air-con.

The climate context: This just isn’t normal

Although heatwaves are a natural a part of the climate, the severity and extent of the heatwaves thus far this yr are usually not “just summer.”

A scientific assessment of the warmth wave within the USA assumes that such a severe and long-lasting heat two to 4 times more likely today attributable to human-induced climate change than would have been the case without it. This conclusion is consistent with the rapid increase In recent many years, the variety of heat waves within the United States and their occurrence outside of the height summer months have increased.

These record heatwaves are occurring in a climate that’s about 1.2°C warmer globally than before the Industrial Revolution, when humanity began emitting large amounts of climate-warming greenhouse gases.

Two global maps show that warming per decade has been much faster over the past 30 years than over the past 120 years.
Global surface temperatures have risen faster per decade over the past 30 years than they’ve previously 120 years.
NOAA NCEI

While a temperature difference of 1 or two degrees may not even be noticeable when entering one other room, even fractions of a level make an enormous difference in the worldwide climate.

At the peak of the last ice age about 20,000 years ago, when the northeastern United States was under hundreds of feet of ice, the worldwide average temperature was only 6 degrees Celsius lower than today. So it's not surprising that 1.2 degrees Celsius of warming is already rapidly changing the climate.

Countries promised in 2015 as a part of the Paris Agreement to maintain warming well below 2°C, but current government policies world wide won’t achieve these goalsTemperatures will proceed to rise, and by the top of the century the rise is anticipated to greater than double.

If you found this hot

Although this summer is prone to be one among the most popular on record, it is vital to comprehend that it is also one among the coldest summers in the long run.

For population groups which are particularly sensitive to heat, including young children, the elderly and outdoor staff, the risks are even higher. People in Lower income neighborhoods where air-con may be unaffordable and tenants which regularly shouldn’t have the identical protection for cooling as for heating will face increasingly dangerous conditions.

Extreme heat may also affect the economy. It can bend railroad tracks and cause lines to sag, which results in transport delays and disruptions. It may also Overloading of electrical systems under high load and result in power outages, especially when people's need for cooling is best.

The excellent news: There are solutions

Yes, the long run in a warming world is daunting. However, countries have made significant progress. In the US, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has the potential to Reduce greenhouse gas emissions within the US by almost half by 2035.

Conversion from air-con to heat pumps and Network geothermal systems cannot only reduce fossil fuel emissions but additionally provide cooling at lower costs. Costs for renewable energies continues to say no, and lots of countries are Strengthening policy support and incentives.

One graph shows that heat waves are likely to increase fourfold in a 2.7°F warmer world and nearly fivefold in a 6.3°F warmer world. Both scenarios are possible as global emissions rise.
Actions to cut back warming can mitigate a wide selection of threats and create quite a few short-term advantages and opportunities.
National Climate Assessment 2023

Humanity can do much to limit future warming if countries, firms and other people in all places Act urgentlyRapidly reducing fossil fuel emissions will help prevent a hotter future with worse heatwaves and droughts, while providing other advantages, including improving public health, creating jobs and reducing risks to ecosystems.

image credit : theconversation.com