Can California and the United States, where the necessity is great, install enough electric vehicle chargers by 2030?

If America is to change to electric vehicles, it’s going to need many more charging stations along highways and in shopping malls, parking garages and houses.

To curb climate change, the Biden administration wants half of all recent cars sold to be electric by 2030. California goals to have 100% of vehicles sold be zero-emission by 2035.

To meet those goals, the country will need nearly 2.3 million public charging stations by 2030, the federally funded National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimated in March. California energy officials predicted the Golden State will need just over 1 million public charging stations by 2030.

This signifies that the country might want to increase the number of electrical vehicle chargers twelvefold over the following five years – the equivalent of putting in 440,000 chargers per 12 months.

Many of those are prone to be the costlier “Level 3” fast chargers, which may bring an electrical vehicle to 80% of its capability in an hour. The “Level 2” charger takes 4 to 10 hours to achieve 80% of its capability.

Achieving these goals might be a challenge, experts say.

Some older buildings will need more power. Commercial property owners aren't sure who will bear the chance and value of putting in chargers. The equipment may take as much as a 12 months or more to order, and obtaining constructing permits and native approvals can delay installation even further.

“When we look at these older buildings, in most cases they're not going to have enough power,” said Jim Hurless, EV expert at industrial real estate broker CBRE. “That could be expensive.”

We spoke to Hurless in regards to the challenges ahead in meeting national electric vehicle charging targets. His comments have been edited for space.

Q: There are about 145,000 gas stations within the US, or about 1.7 million gas pumps with 12 pumps per station. Why do we’d like 2.3 million publicly accessible charging stations?

Jim Hurless (courtesy of CBRE)
Jim Hurless (courtesy of CBRE)

A: That's a very good query. Plenty of it’s about accessibility and the way people use our charging infrastructure.

We don’t install pumps in private homes or apartment complexes. However, with the arrival of electrical vehicles, nearly 80% of electrical vehicle drivers primarily charge their vehicles at home.

So after we take a look at the two.1 million Level 2 chargers, we break it down into 590,000 for homes and 470,000 for workplaces – for office buildings, healthcare facilities, hospitals and doctor's offices. The remainder of the two.1 million chargers might be distributed across other industrial locations, similar to hotels, shopping centers and other kinds of industrial real estate.

Q: Is the demand for chargers in homes just as great?

A: The multifamily sector, so multi-family housing, is the fastest growing asset class for electric vehicle charging deployment. That's a really large space, and it's about creating equity. We can bring charging stations to low-income (areas) to make charging more equitable and available to all socioeconomic levels.

Q: So are chargers mainly installed in recent buildings or are there also retrofits?

A: Both.

In the state of California, for instance, every recent constructing must include an electrical vehicle charging station. The policy states that 10% of parking spaces will need to have electric vehicle charging stations, but in several municipalities this number could also be higher.

Q: Many apartment buildings are very old. What challenges are related to renovating these old buildings?

A: That's a case-by-case decision. We have to take a look at the structural integrity of those buildings. With multifamily buildings, there are some limitations, namely how much utilities or energy are delivered into the constructing. That's going to be a key query for us. Can we add more services to the constructing? … That might be expensive.

Q: Are chargers in homes a necessity or a luxury?

A: When I speak with multifamily developers, one in all the highest three questions a prospective tenant asks me when calling an apartment complex is, “Do you have electric vehicle charging stations?” If the reply to any of those questions is “no,” they're prone to hang up or disregard the decision. I heard a statistic from one in all our developers that 40-47% of tenants get hung up on in the event that they don't have charging stations.

Electric vehicle drivers charge at a public fast-charging station at the Pavillions shopping center in Seal Beach. Fast chargers like this one can get an electric vehicle to 80% of its capacity in less than an hour, but they cost about $150,000 to $175,000 to install, said Jim Hurless of CBRE. (Photo by Jeff Collins, Orange County Register/SCNG)
Electric vehicle drivers charge at a public fast-charging station on the Pavillions shopping mall in Seal Beach. Fast chargers like this one can get an electrical vehicle to 80% of its capability in lower than an hour, but they cost about $150,000 to $175,000 to put in, said Jim Hurless of CBRE. (Photo by Jeff Collins, Orange County Register/SCNG)

Q: You said that industrial landlords also have to ask themselves whether or not they should install the chargers themselves or hire a contractor to put in and maintain them. Who bears the chance and value of installation?

A: In my experience, these industrial property owners and operators know what they do best. And that's not owning, operating and maintaining their very own charging infrastructure. So they're definitely on the lookout for opportunities… to grasp what the ownership structure can appear like.

There are three basic models. One is that an external charging operator assumes all the chance, provides all of the capital for the installation of the charging infrastructure and there aren’t any monthly fees. In these situations, the property owners can expect a fee share of around 10% of the online sales.

The second model is a monthly subscription, where the owner pays a set dollar amount per plug per 30 days. And in return, he receives as much as 80% of that revenue as a share.

The third option is that they buy their very own infrastructure, install it and are chargeable for maintaining it. They bear all of the risks and if the chargers are usually not used, they get no return on their investment.

A: That is correct.

That's exactly what the (federal) infrastructure bill is purported to fund ($7.5 billion to expand fast-charging networks along these travel corridors) to eliminate range anxiety and supply a greater charging experience. They're going to attempt to put those right on those exits and highways.

Q: Tesla has a distinct charger, so can I exploit these Tesla chargers if I purchase a Volkswagen ID.4, a Lucid Air or a Hyundai Ioniq?

A: Yes. The North American Charging System (NACS) is the plug configuration for Tesla. (But) an increasing number of automakers are beginning to adapt this charging standard in order that they will use Tesla charging stations. And Tesla has committed to creating its charging stations available to other manufacturers as well.

Jim Hurless

Name: Jim Hurless

Title: Global Real Estate Leader – EV Infrastructure at CBRE

Residence: Dallas, Texas

Education: Studied philosophy at Arkansas State University

Previous jobs: Over 25 years of experience in global real estate, facilities and infrastructure with firms similar to CBRE, Imagine Communications, Amazon Web Services and IAC.

Originally published:

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