Prosecutors suggest a separation, but analysts say it’s unlikely

Federal prosecutors hinted at breaking up Google in proposals to a federal judge geared toward stripping the Mountain View tech giant of its monopoly on Internet searches. However, analysts consider that court-ordered solutions is not going to result in a split in the corporate.

Google, which was officially declared an illegal monopoly in August by the judge overseeing the U.S. Justice Department's antitrust lawsuit against the corporate, called an inventory of possible changes to its business “radical” and against the interests of consumers and businesses.

In a nine-page filing this week within the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, the DOJ said it’s considering “conductual and structural remedies” to forestall Google from selling products comparable to its Chrome web browser, the Play app store and the Android operating system to create a competitive advantage for Google Search and related products and features.

Google's anti-competitive behavior enriched the corporate illegally and resulted in “devastating harm” that “impacted the lives of all Americans, whether as individuals or as business owners,” the department said.

The Justice Department has not specifically called for breaking up Google or forcing the corporate to spin off divisions comparable to its browser and operating system, said Cristina Caffarra, an economist who’s following the case for the London-based Center for Economic Policy Research. But the filing “suggests spinoffs” from the corporate, Caffarra said.

Google followed the Justice Department's lead, Responding to the submission on Monday with a blog post claims that “spinning off Chrome or Android would destroy them – and many other things.” Google has not yet responded to the DOJ's proposals in court.

Daniel Ives, a technology industry analyst at Wedbush Securities, said the DOJ's filing shows it’s “casting a wide net” for potential remedies in a lawsuit that may ultimately “result in a compromise.”

“It's all a poker game because Google will fight this in court,” Ives said. “I believe that Google will ultimately have to make concessions and adapt its business model.”

The DOJ may later specifically request that Judge Amit Mehta break up Google, Ives said.

“You just keep your options open,” Ives said.

But Wedbush analysts have concluded that the likelihood of Google being broken up is lower than 5%, Ives said. The slight decline in Google's stock price for the reason that antitrust filing suggests Wall Street investors aren't hoping for a breakup, Ives said.

The case was filed in 2020 and heralded a brand new legal attempt by the US government to rein in tech giants. Federal authorities then filed anti-monopoly lawsuits against Amazon, Apple, etc Facebook and Instagram parent company Meta.

In its blog post, Google noted that it had spent billions of dollars on Chrome and Android and that few firms could invest the identical amount in similar products.

“A spinoff would change their business models, increase the cost of devices and undermine Android and Google Play in their fierce competition with Apple's iPhone and App Store,” Google said. And because so many software developers and device makers use its browser and operating system across industries, from cars to laptops to apps, the corporate said: “Changes could impact many companies and the people who use their services.”

Mehta, in his 277-page August ruling, which also included the monopoly finding, focused on Google's payments to firms like Apple and Samsung to make Google the default search engine, with “most devices in the United States … running exclusively on Google.” are pre-installed”.

The Justice Department said it could seek an order barring Google from such agreements “and other revenue-sharing arrangements related to search and search-related products.”

Google claimed in its blog post that “overly broad restrictions” on such contracts, which it claimed were “designed to make Google Search readily available,” would “lead to tensions for people simply searching.” want to go looking for information”.

The proposal also takes aim at Google's gold: the vast data the corporate collects about users for the targeted promoting that accounts for the majority of its parent company Alphabet's profits – $74 billion last 12 months. The company's monopoly allowed it to gather and use data on the expense of competitors, the DOJ said. To offset that advantage, the ministry said it could ask the court to force Google to share search data.

Google addressed web users in its blog post, arguing that “forcing your search queries to be shared with other companies could lead to significant privacy and security risks.”

The ministry said in its filing that “genuine privacy concerns must be distinguished from sham arguments to maintain market position” and will suggest that Mehta ban Google from “using or retaining data that cannot be effectively shared with others due to privacy concerns.” will be shared.” .”

Because artificial intelligence is prone to change into vital to go looking – Google already provides “AI summaries” for a lot of search results – the judge's orders must make sure that there’s “robust competition” in AI-powered web search, the department said.

Google countered in its blog post that government “obstruction” of its AI “risks slowing American innovation at a critical moment for the country” when “global competition is fierce.”

Prosecutors said they might demand more evidence from Google before the corporate submits a final proposal to finish the corporate's search monopoly, expected in March 2025. Wedbush analysts expect Mehta, who declared Google a search monopoly, to make a final ruling within the case in August. Google is anticipated to appeal.

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