What to anticipate from federal judges appointed by Trump or Harris — based on what we saw in Trump and Biden's picks for the Supreme Court and lower courts

The last eight years have made it clear that who sits within the federal courts matters.

The country has watched the Supreme Court act on issues corresponding to: abortionThe Second Amendment And Presidential power.

And the general public has lost faith within the Supreme Court, which has a 40% approval rating, a record low.

The start of the Court's term on October 7, 2024 provides a possibility to reflect on how presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris differ relating to judicial appointments.

During their term in office, they… The Trump-Pence administration appointed 223 Federal district court and appeals court judges and the Biden-Harris administration More than 210 have been appointed up to now District Court and Appeals Court Judge. Taken together, that amounts to simply over half all judges service in these courts.

As leading expert within the Selection of federal judges And judicial decision-makingI even have thoroughly analyzed each candidates' judicial nomination records. A stark contrast emerges between the 2.

The Trump-Pence administration placed emphasis on choosing very conservative lawyers with close ties to the conservative legal movement. In contrast, the Biden-Harris administration sought to diversify the federal bench to higher reflect the America it represents.

A man in a military uniform salutes a US flag as another man and woman walk past him.
President Donald Trump stands next to Judge Amy Coney Barrett before her ceremonial swearing in for the position of Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court on October 26, 2020 in Washington, DC
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The extreme, conservative judges of the Trump-Pence administration

During the 2016 presidential campaign, Trump made two unprecedented moves regarding the appointment of federal judges.

This yr, Trump became the primary candidate in American history to release a listing of his nominees possible decisions of the Supreme Court in the course of the election campaign, which he also did in 2011 2020. He has not yet done this when applying for election in 2024.

True to his word, Trump's three Supreme Court nominees got here from these lists, which were compiled and published to deal with the concerns of conservatives who were skeptical of his candidacy.

Second, Trump outsourced this Selection its federal judges Elites within the conservative right-wing movementa network of rich individuals and organizations dedicated to advancing conservative causes within the legal system. The central themes of the movement include: Restricting access to abortionLimitation of business regulation and Promote originalisma legal philosophy based on the concept that the Constitution has fixed meaning.

Elite individuals with connections to the Federalist Society And Heritage Foundationtwo of probably the most powerful organizations within the conservative legal movement, played an important role within the collection of Trump's judicial nominees.

In particular, Leonard Leo, the present co-chair and former executive vice chairman of the Federalist Society, which describes itself as the position of a “Premium on individual freedom, traditional values ​​and the rule of law” was Mainly liable for the choice the judges Trump nominated for the federal bench.

For Trump and the conservative right-wing movement, this was a Winning strategy. Since Republicans were in command of the Senate during Trump's presidency, these judges were those confirmed with an awesome majority even in the event that they lacked the qualifications expected of a typical federal judge, corresponding to: B. Experience in court.

Once confirmed, Trump's judicial nominees advanced the conservative agenda through their votes and opinions. The overthrow of Roe v. Wade, who was rejected by greater than 60% of the general publicis evident evidence of this conservative agenda, and there’s a broader pattern.

Research shows that judges affiliated with the Federalist Society are significantly more conservative than even their colleagues within the Republican Party who will not be affiliated with the organization.

Since then, Trump has been capable of appoint greater than 200 federal judges for lifelong termsincluding three Supreme Court justices, this implies the conservative shift will last for a long time, if not generations.

In short, Trump's judges imagine strongly within the mission of the conservative legal movement, and their decision-making reflects that.

The Biden-Harris administration's focus is on diversity

Two smiling women and a smiling man, raising their fists in excitement, stand outside at a lectern.
President Joe Biden reacts as Vice President Kamala Harris delivers a speech during an event celebrating the confirmation of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the U.S. Supreme Court on April 8, 2022 in Washington, DC
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The Biden-Harris administration took a special approach to choosing federal judges.

For almost the complete history of the country, federal judges have been chosen from a pool of judges Elite group of white men.

Qualified people were kept away have the suitable to develop into a federal judge due to their race, gender, ethnicity, religion, sexual orientation, or a mixture of those identities. Under Trump, 84% of confirmed judges were white and 76% were men.

This resulted in an American justice system that looked very different from the mosaic that makes up the country.

Biden promised to alter this.

And he did.

This was most evident with Biden Promise for 2022 appointing the primary black women to the Supreme Court, which led to Nomination of Ketanji Brown Jackson.

This was also evident within the administration's nominations to lower courts.

Unlike the Trump-Pence administration, whose federal judges were overwhelmingly appointed white menthe Biden-Harris administration identified and nominated a various group of qualified people Federal judge. In fact, the federal judiciary under the Biden-Harris administration is probably the most diverse by way of race, gender and ethnicity within the country's history. Only 38% of judges confirmed this Under the Biden-Harris administration, whites were white and only 36% were men.

And racial and gender diversity On the bench it matters. Judges admit that their personal experiences can influence the best way they approach cases, and research supports this. Scholars have shown that female judges and judges of color are more progressive than other judges, particularly on issues with which they’ve unique experience. corresponding to gender And Racial discrimination.

For example, Biden appointee Judge Candace Jackson-Akiwumi is barely the second Black woman to serve on the seventh U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. In 2022 caseShe wrote the bulk opinion that allowed a black couple to present their claims of racial discrimination in housing to a jury. In contrast, Trump appointee Amy Joan St. Eve, a white woman, disagreed and downplayed and downplayed the negative consequences of the racial epithets used against the couple.

And beyond judicial decisions, Research also shows that diverse representation on the court can result in greater support for courts from women and folks of color.

Although it continues to be a bit early to attract firm conclusions, it seems that the Biden-Harris administration's justice officials are moderate liberals. For example, up to now it's Brown Jackson more moderate as liberal justices Elena Kagan and Sonia Sotomayor, appointed by President Barack Obama.

The final result

The Trump-Pence and Biden-Harris administrations took very different approaches to choosing federal judges.

Trump will probably be remembered for his ideological approach, working with elites within the conservative legal movement to pick very conservative judges. In contrast, the legacy of the Biden-Harris administration will probably be its deal with diversity, which resulted within the appointment of judges who reflect the various identities of the American public.

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