Harris is leading Trump within the Iowa polls just days before Election Day

In shocking news, Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44% amongst likely voters Opinion poll released on Saturday evening, just three days before Election Day.

Harris' lead is throughout the poll's margin of error of three.4 percentage points, but her lead reflects a seven-point swing in voters' favor since September.

The results of the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll got here as a whole surprise to political observers, as no serious analyst predicted that the Democratic candidate would defeat Trump within the state.

Since the conclusion of the presidential primary, neither candidate had campaigned within the state, which Trump won easily within the last two presidential elections.

“No one can say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, told the Des Moines Register.

“She has clearly made the leap into a leadership position.”

Selzer & Co. conducted the poll of 808 likely Iowa voters Monday through Thursday. Selzer's company is well-respected by pollsters, and its results are likely to carry a whole lot of weight with political strategists.

Harris' lead within the poll was based on strong support from female voters, particularly older and politically independent voters.

“Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that explain these numbers,” Selzer told the Register.

The poll found that 3% of respondents supported independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who ended his campaign in favor of Trump. Kennedy stays on the Iowa ballot.

The same poll in September showed Trump leading Harris, the present vice chairman, by 4 percentage points. Trump was 18 percentage points ahead of President Joe Biden, then the presumptive Democratic nominee, in June.

Trump won the state by 8 percentage points in 2020 and by 9 percentage points in 2016.

The Republican campaign gave one memo On Saturday evening, the poll called the poll an “outlier.”

The memo noted that the brand new Emerson College A poll of likely Iowa voters released Saturday showed Trump leading Harris 53% to 43%.

The Trump campaign memo said: “Des Moines Register is a clear outlier poll. Emerson College’s release today “far better reflects the state of the real Iowa electorate and does so with far more transparency in its methodology.”