Plaid Cymru’s electoral success sets the stage for the 2026 Senedd election

Plaid Cymru – the party of Wales – had a superb general election, securing 4 of Wales' 32 seats, increasing its share of the Welsh vote to 14.8%, a rise of 4.9% in comparison with the 2019 general election.

Although the party also won 4 seats in 2019, changes to constituencies in Wales for that election resulted within the variety of seats being reduced from 40 to 32. This meant that existing seats were merged and expanded. Despite this, Plaid Cymru retained its representation.

Two of its incumbent MPs were re-elected within the newly formed constituencies of Dwyfor Meirionydd and Ceredigion and Preseli. The party also won in its goal constituencies of Ynys Môn and Caerfyrddin.

These are remarkable achievements considering the challenges Plaid Cymru faces on this election.

General elections are at all times difficult for parties like Plaid Cymru that campaign in just one a part of the UK. No matter how well they do, they’ll only ever win a couple of seats within the House of Commons. With an electoral system that favours national parties and frequently gives them a majority of seats, there may be little prospect of smaller parties playing a job in forming the subsequent UK government.

Voters have to be convinced that it stays necessary for Plaid Cymru to be represented within the UK Parliament, but that is difficult to realize in election campaigns dominated by national issues and the main political parties.

Plaid Cymru also went into the election after a difficult period. In recent years the party has struggled to achieve votes usually and regional elections outside its Welsh-speaking core areas in north and west Wales, raising questions on the adequacy of its campaign strategies and structures.

A Report from last yr highlighted a culture of sexual harassment, bullying and misogyny throughout the party, which led to resignation of then-leader Adam Price. This election was the primary opportunity for voters to evaluate the party's cleansing efforts under recent leader Rhun ap Iorwerth.

Despite its commitment to Welsh independence, Plaid Cymru didn’t place particular emphasis on this constitutional goal through the election campaign. manifest The promise to “prepare a Green Paper on the path to independence” was given far less emphasis than criticism of the most important political parties' lack of ambition for Wales. And it reiterated calls for a good funding arrangement to tackle the failing public services and stagnating economy.

These key campaign messages not only targeted voters disillusioned with the present Conservative government in Westminster, but in addition aimed to position Plaid Cymru in relation to the Labour Party, which has been in government in Wales since 1999 and is anticipated to form the subsequent UK government. Such a method reflects the multi-stage political dynamics of elections within the UK.

For Plaid Cymru, the final election was also a chance to profile itself and its recent leader ahead of the subsequent elections to the Senedd (Welsh Parliament) in 2026. Plaid Cymru goals to guide the subsequent Welsh Government from 2026. The party has already set out its offer to Welsh voters in that general election.

Senedd elections 2026

The next Senedd election is prone to be about Welsh Labour's record on public services and economic growth. With a Labour government in Westminster, Plaid Cymru will seek to bolster its claims that Labour is failing Wales at every level of presidency.

The increasing unpopularity by Labour's First Minister Vaughan Gething and the introduction of a brand new, fully proportional voting system for the subsequent Senedd election boost Plaid Cymru's prospects of a breakthrough. The gains on this general election have given the party momentum for 2026.

The leadership of ap Iorwerth was a decisive consider this regard. Current surveys suggests that the Welsh public imagine he’s doing his job well.

A close-up of the smiling Rhun ap Iorwerth.
Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iorwerth arrives for the primary election debate at BBC Broadcasting House on 7 June 2024.
Justin Ng/Alamy

The challenge now’s to keep up this profile and momentum until 2026. Even if the external environment is prone to be conducive to further voter growth, how the party responds to those opportunities can be crucial.

It must pursue its long-term ambitions for Welsh independence (which is a Minority of voters in Wales) with a reputable programme to handle the more immediate challenges facing the country. And it would need a contemporary, sophisticated campaign that may win votes outside the party's core regions and under a really different electoral system.

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